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BY AMENA BAKR

Few astute observers of Egypt’s economy would deny that things have been moving in the right direction since Prime Minister Ahmed Nazif first took the reins of the cabinet in July 2004. Though the average citizen may have witnessed little change, the country has taken important strides on the macroeconomic level.

These gains were highlighted at the Economist Conferences Fourth Business Roundtable with the Government of Egypt, which convened in Cairo on April 2. The highly anticipated annual event brings together top members of the cabinet, along with businessmen from all sectors, to discuss the status of Egypt’s economy. In the past, it has been the launch pad for major economic news, such as the announcement of the floating of the pound in 2002. Yet this year, the government debuted no major new initiatives, choosing instead to focus on Egypt’s progress in implementing economic reforms and how it hopes to sustain the momentum.

Nazif inaugurated the conference’s first session by briefing the audience – which consisted of leading businessmen and journalists – on the country’s current economic status. He highlighted the economic reforms that have occurred over the past 20 months, stressing the newfound trust and optimism surrounding the government’s handling of the economic reform process. This trust, he said, has been reflected in new tax and customs changes that have “eased the burden” on investment. “Business and government [have worked together] in a team effort to create the value that we are looking for,” he said.

Yet despite the “reconciliation” that has taken place between the government and the private sector over the period past, Nazif stressed, many challenges still lie ahead for the current government. “I think that a lot has been done in the past 20 months, but I also think there is a lot to be done,” he said. The government’s next goal, he added, is to meet Organization for Economic Cooperation & Development (OECD) goals on good governance by 2025. “Ambitious,” Nazif admitted, “but doable.”

The prime minister asserted that positive moves were visible in numerous sectors of the economy over the past 20 months. The construction industry, he was proud to report, grew by about 12.7 percent. “This is one of the leading indicators of the growth in the economy,” he said. Other such indicators include a 20-percent spike in exports and overall industrial growth of more than 6 percent in the last quarter of 2005. “This is something we haven’t seen in over 15 years,” he said.

Nazif reported progress on a new law that would form special courts to deal with economic issues. The Economic Courts Law, which will be submitted to parliament later this year, would help speed up court cases affecting businesses, thus creating a more investment-friendly environment.

Turning to the energy sector, Nazif said the government was candidly addressing the more obvious investment impediments, namely land, bureaucracy and the difficulty of finance. “We are starting new reforms every day,” he said, rattling off the litany of sectors in which cabinet reformers are active. “Today we are addressing energy, we are addressing land, we are addressing bureaucracy, we are addressing finance problems. [These are] four main areas that can make or break our government.”

To promote new projects and investment, the government is issuing new regulations that ease the process of land acquisition and the addition of new energy projects. Nazif hopes these changes will catalyze the growth of business activity. “What business wants is clear and steady, predictable policy... and we are set to provide that,” he said.

The government is also beginning to realize the importance of private investment in projects that involve education, housing and health, areas formerly the exclusive domain of the public sector. “Instead of the government building everything and carrying the process in one step,” Nazif said, “this new framework is providing opportunities for the private sector to invest, and for the government to lease.”

One challenge that Nazif says will have to be addressed in the coming period is the high percentage of lower income groups in society, which places an enormous burden on the subsidy system. “We’ve created a new portfolio for social solidarity that will... better target those low-income groups and add better efficiency into the subsidy system so that the value remains within the economy,” he assured.

With reforms well under way, Nazif says sustainability will emerge as the critical issue. “Sustainability of the reform process is very important,” he said, adding that it will require continued commitment by the government. “Commitment, opportunity, resources and environment; that’s what we call our core strategy for the sustainability of our development.”

Nazif believes Egypt’s diversified economy has contributed to sustaining the progress of economic reform. Despite the terrorist attacks that took place last year, tourism still managed to make positive contributions to the economy. “The tourist industry continued to grow, yet at a lower percentage than we thought,” he said, adding that while 15-percent growth had been predicted, it still fared a respectable 5-percent growth.

In conclusion, Nazif argued that political and economic reforms are working hand in hand to deepen Egypt’s democracy. He said the government is committed to success and “moving on all fronts.”

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